Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,935$ on 2020-06-03
Best fit exponential: \(115 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.5\) days)
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $26$ on 2020-06-03
Best fit exponential: \(0.248 \times 10^{0.037t}\) (doubling rate \(8.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{111.6}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 65.9)}}\) (asimptote \(111.6\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,273$ on 2020-06-03
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $9,733$ on 2020-06-03
Best fit exponential: \(808 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,194.3}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 58.7)}}\) (asimptote \(12,194.3\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $673$ on 2020-06-03
Best fit exponential: \(138 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(31.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{602.0}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 30.2)}}\) (asimptote \(602.0\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,842$ on 2020-06-03
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,495$ on 2020-06-03
Best fit exponential: \(58 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(12.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{16,246.3}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 98.3)}}\) (asimptote \(16,246.3\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $75$ on 2020-06-03
Best fit exponential: \(9.51 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(24.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{112.6}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 59.7)}}\) (asimptote \(112.6\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,928$ on 2020-06-03
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $37,525$ on 2020-06-03
Best fit exponential: \(466 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{315,217.3}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 114.1)}}\) (asimptote \(315,217.3\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $792$ on 2020-06-03
Best fit exponential: \(18.9 \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,555.7}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 103.3)}}\) (asimptote \(11,555.7\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $17,051$ on 2020-06-03
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $28,615$ on 2020-06-03
Best fit exponential: \(502 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{347,690.4}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 129.3)}}\) (asimptote \(347,690.4\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,088$ on 2020-06-03
Best fit exponential: \(83.8 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,558.8}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 63.2)}}\) (asimptote \(1,558.8\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $20,177$ on 2020-06-03
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $477$ on 2020-06-03
Best fit exponential: \(23.9 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{479.9}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 51.6)}}\) (asimptote \(479.9\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5$ on 2020-06-03
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $234$ on 2020-06-03
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,902$ on 2020-06-03
Best fit exponential: \(31.6 \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,672.7}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 64.3)}}\) (asimptote \(3,672.7\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $20$ on 2020-06-03
Best fit exponential: \(0.64 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{25.1}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 63.4)}}\) (asimptote \(25.1\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,081$ on 2020-06-03
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,306$ on 2020-06-03
Best fit exponential: \(28.6 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,026.7}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 68.8)}}\) (asimptote \(2,026.7\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $12$ on 2020-06-03
Best fit exponential: \(1.72 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{13.6}{1 + 10^{-0.062 (t - 24.4)}}\) (asimptote \(13.6\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,094$ on 2020-06-03